A Wall Street Journal poll of economists found that the probability of a recession in the next 12 months is 61%, down slightly from 63% from October 2022 and significantly higher than the 2022 Q3 roundup.
See also:
- Nobody grades an economist and the only qualifying criteria for the poll I could find is that they are an economist, not previous track record in predictions
- Consensus macro forecasts provide no value though the fact that the majority of economist see a recession coming is a signal
- Growing startups are a microcosm of an economy and startup funding fell 67% in 2022