The probability of a recession in the near term based on estimates from economists at investment banks.
- Deloitte: 15%
- Morgan Stanley: 30%
- Goldman Sachs: 30%
- JPMorgan Chase: 35%
- Citigroup: 50%
- Deutche Bank: Likely
- Wells Fargo: Likely
(Source Dealbook)
See also:
Links to this note
Running a Startup During a Recession
Startups are a microcosm of the economy and we can observe that things are changing quickly towards a recession footing. The effects of inflation on valuations are readily apparent, but we also see that things were too good to be true and investors and late stage companies exploited it.