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Bayes Theorem Is a Form of Inductive Reasoning
In Bayes' Theorem, the probability of something occurring is based on probabilities of other parameters of the problem.
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Nearly Half of Employees Are Likely to Move to Work Remotely
A survey by Microsoft found that 41% of employees are considering leaving their current job and 46% say they are likely to move to work remotely.
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Strategy Bugs
Like software bugs, strategy bugs are a failure of understanding of how the real world works and the value your product creates.
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Sistine Chapel of the Ancients
Thousands of Ice Age paintings were discovered in the Amazon rainforest in Colombia which earned the nickname ‘the Sistine Chapel of the ancients’.
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The Pyramid Principle (Literature Notes)
The Pyramid Principle by Barbara Minto. Overview Always give the summarizing idea first before the individual ideas that are being summarized.
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Plant-Based Soft Robots
Using plant-based actuators, experiments have shown that we can achieve a limited form of soft robots.
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D3 Is an API for SVGs
D3 is not a visualization library as it is described, but an API to svg and canvas elements.
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Antikythera Mechanism Models the Sun, Moon, and Planets of Ancient Greece
Antikythera Mechanism is a mechanical model of the positions of celestial bodies.
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Vega Is a Visualization Grammar
Vega is a high level charting and visualization library that uses a declarative grammar (a data structure) that is translated into a D3 rendered chart.
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Supply and Demand Are Imperfectly Linked
We tend to think of supply and demand as curves that companies neatly fit into and move proportionally.
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Shipping and Hiring Velocity Are Predictors of Successful Pre-Product Companies
In the early days of a pre-product startup there is little to measure.
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Update Your Priors
An expression for Bayesian thinking where you think in ranges of outcomes based on prior information.
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Path Dependence
The likelihood that something will continue to be done the same way it was done from the outset.
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Outdated Scientific Studies Can Perpetuate for Years
Scientific research can sometimes suffer from a form of path dependence where a single study can be cited repeatedly for many years even when it is found out to be incorrect.
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Build an Initial Product a Small Group of Users Love
Common advice from the YC crowd (Paul Graham et al) is to build an initial product that a small group of users love.
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Tracker Music
A form of music characterized by being made using tracker software such as the original Ultimate Soundtracker on Amiga or more modern Renoise.
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Companies Started by Solo Founders Survive Longer and Generate More Revenue
Counter to the common advice given by people in Silicon Valley (Paul Graham ‘Startup Mistakes’ for instance), solo founders are more likely to build companies that survive and generate more revenue than multiple founders.
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Compatibility Is Leverage
A large amount of the cost (time) of maintaining code is keeping up with breaking changes and incompatability.
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More States Are Cracking Down on Misclassification of Contractors
California passed legislation that makes it significantly harder to classify workers as independent contractors.
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Minto Linter
A theoretical tool that checks a piece of business writing against a set of rules from The Minto Pyramid Principle.
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The Quality of Your Mind Determines the Quality of Your Life
We tend to put off happiness—only once this problem is solved or this goal is achieved will I be happy.
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Vaguely Right Is Better Than Exactly Wrong
Carveth Reed, a British logician and philosopher is attributed with the quote, “It is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong” (sometimes attributed to the economist John Maynard Keynes).
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The First Rule of Compounding Is Never to Interrupt It Unnecessarily
Charlie Munger’s first rule of compounding is to never interrupt it unnecessarily.
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Bond Management Is a Negative Art
Since gains from bond trading are capped by the yield at maturity, but only returns if the bond pays out, the value generated is not from what you buy but what you exclude—avoiding bonds that don’t pay out i.